The Democrats may have House majority but that’s not good enough for them. They lost the majority in the Senate – and they’re focused on getting it back.
The problem with that is that they’re going to need to flip the Sun Belt in order to accomplish their agenda.
The Dems, in general, are looking to make some critical moves. Their hope is that 2020 will put a Democratic president into office. Then, they need to work on Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia.
While three states don’t seem too difficult, it’s important to look at the facts. Donald Trump carried all three states during his presidential election in 2016.
Senate races are becoming nationalized, which means that if the Senate seats are going to flip, they need to see strong performances for their party’s presidential nominee throughout the Sun Belt states as well.
One of the biggest problems that the Democrats face is that they need to become laser-focused in order to get the support throughout Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia. They need to take their eye off of other aspects in order to focus this much energy in making the flip.
They want to flip the Senate and make sure that Democrats throughout the southern part of the country are investing heavily within their states. They feel that this is the pathway towards 270 Electoral College votes.
They have no choice but to do this, too, since the Electoral College is still responsible for choosing the president – not the popular vote. Although plenty of Dems would like to see this change, laws are laws – at least until the Dems get their claws into it.
The Democratic Party chairman for North Carolina, Wayne Goodwin, explains that the pathway to the Senate majority and the White House has to come through the Sun Belt.
Goodwin feels that Republicans should be “quaking in their boots” for the 2020 election because Republicans are narrowly winning. What Goodwin fails to realize is that the Republicans are still winning, narrowly or not.
There are some Sun Belt states that don’t have Senate races to worry about, either – and that includes Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
A lot is going to hang in the balance until the Democrats actually have a nominee. The person who ends up being nominated to run against Trump will help to determine a number of different things – including whether they are capable of rallying the troops in order to get the Democratic vote across the entire state.
Another problem that the Democrats face is that they need help in the Sun Belt as well as the Rust Belt. The strategies for each are completely different, which makes it difficult to focus on.
According to Joe Trippi, a Democratic strategist, he is looking at strategies that could potentially work. While suburban women have been making a move towards the Democratic Party, there are still a number of questions.
The Democrats want to get excited about the possibility of taking certain states, such as Arizona. Trump carried it – but only by about four percentage points.
Democrats feel that this is a chance for them to wiggle in and take the state. Democrats were also able to win a Senate race within the state in 2016 – and that’s the first time they were able to do so within three decades.
With so many presidential candidates who are extremely left-leaning, however, it can be difficult for them to win a state when the state focuses on moderate candidates.
According to Guy Cecil, the chairman for Priorities USA, explains that a Democratic president is going to struggle with a Republican Senate. In the past, when this happens, agendas are slower to pass and very little gets done.
Republicans are scoffing at the optimism that Democrats are showing. They have a significant amount of work to do if they want to see the progress. They also have to have presidential candidates who are willing to talk about all of the issues.
Between Warren’s “I have a plan for that” and O’Rourke announcing that he’s coming for everyone’s guns, people are skeptical about whether a Democrat is going to be the best candidate, even when they typically vote Democrat.
As Jesse Hunt, the spokesperson for the National Republican Senatorial Committee echoes, Democrats are failing to recognize that the socialist agenda is rendering Senate candidates unelectable in states that are reliably Republican.
Until the presidential candidates start to lean a little bit more to the right so that moderates can get behind them, they will have trouble winning the Sun Belt or any other state along the way.